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Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Conservative Cocooning 

Kaus is always talking about liberal cocooning, which is when liberals find ways to misread the news so that they don't have to deal with it as bad news.

Here's Drudge's update on the early exit polls:

17:12:21 ET // UPDATE: Exit poll mania spread through media and campaign circles Tuesday evening after exit data from big media sources claimed Kerry competitive in key states.... FL Kerry +1 PA Kerry+2-4 OH Kerry+1 WI Kerry+4 MI Kerry+2 NH Kerry +4
"Competitive?" He's winning.

Of course, don't take that to mean that I think the exit polls mean Kerry is winning. If you've got a narrowly divided election (say, fractions of a percent), then your (very sparse) exit polls are quite likely to show a lead for one candidate or the other just due to sampling error. But if there's something that those polls he cites show, it's that Kerry is winning. Certainly it is better for your guy to be up 1% in these polls than down.

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